Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Environmental: The Central European Heat Wave



Over the past summer a new heat wave swept over what is becoming a progressively warmer Europe. In the second week of July, temperatures in Romania, Serbia and Croatia have consistently gone over 40 degrees Celsius, marking a prevalent increase in summer temperatures over the last several years. These conditions are presumably an example of the future warmer world in which we will live in as global warming seems to be making its imprint.

Along with the heat came a variety of adverse effects ranging from rising food prices to increased health concerns. For example, as the heat intensified the drought already plaguing Romania, Europe’s second largest agricultural exporter, corn and grain harvests have wilted away causing a sharp drop in the available supply and increasing their cost. Furthermore, farmers raising livestock now have to spend more money for fodder causing meat product prices to rise as well. The heat also caused a substantial increase in heat stroke and medical problems, with there being almost 6,700 medical calls to the ambulance service in Romania over a 24 hour period. [1] [3]

These cumulative damages might not be catastrophic at this point in time, yet as the world food consumption increases relying more and more on high yielding crops and global warming intensifies, the chances of heat waves having disastrous effects increases. The increase in such heat waves might become unsustainable in the future, yet at this point in time I believe their negative effects can be mitigated through careful planning and better heat resistant crops. For example, researchers at Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH Zurich) have conducted studies suggesting the prevalence of heat waves in the summer can be predicted from winter and spring rainfall [2]. Hence, by leaving crop fields more prone to heat damage limp when a summer is projected to be warmer, the negative effects on the harvest can be mitigated while at the same time allowing the soil to recover. An alternative is to use genetically modified crops to better withstand the elevated temperatures for summer that are predicted to be warm.

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